24 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1530
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Parhomenko
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1500
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Jungman stays under total as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.