24 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1720
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vales
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1651
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
🌟Vales rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (94)
Fair odds · Vales
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.