24 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1651
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mares
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1715
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
🌟Mares rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (114)
Fair odds · Mares
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.