24 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1569
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hofman
FP
🇨🇿Frantisek Pusch
ELO 1519
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Hofman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (56)
Fair odds · Hofman
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.