24 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1562
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Byrtus
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1494
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heczko🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (65)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H10-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.