24 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AB
🇨🇿Adam Brazda
ELO 1489
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tazler
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Tazler
ELO 1534
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Tazler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.