24 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1574
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skacelik
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1562
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Byrtus🌟Skacelik goes over total as favourite 67% (51)
Fair odds · Skacelik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.