24 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AB
🇨🇿Adam Brazda
ELO 1489
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pusch
FP
🇨🇿Frantisek Pusch
ELO 1519
FormLWLWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brazda🌟Pusch rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Pusch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.