24 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1623
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vedmoch
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1530
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Parhomenko
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+93
H2H53-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)