24 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Milan Chalupnicek
ELO 1359
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Grohsgott
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1360
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Grohsgott stays under total as favourite 63% (109)
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H27-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.