24 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pavelka
ELO 1510
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stolfa
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1517
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Stolfa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.