24 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1574
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skacelik
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1499
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Simecek🌟Skacelik goes over total as favourite 67% (51)
Fair odds · Skacelik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H3-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.