24 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1564
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pilch
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1602
FormLLWLW
48%
52%
🌟Pilch rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (45)
Fair odds · Pilch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H12-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.