24 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Szotek
ELO 1526
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Cabis
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1631
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Szotek stays under total as underdog 71% (52)
Fair odds · Cabis
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+105
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)