24 Jul · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1517
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kolar
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1617
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stolfa
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+100
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)