24 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FP
🇨🇿Frantisek Pusch
ELO 1519
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hofman
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1569
FormWWWLL
47%
53%
🌟Hofman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (56)
Fair odds · Hofman
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.