24 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1649
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Svechota
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Svechota
ELO 1668
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Svechota
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.