24 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1494
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skacelik
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1574
FormWLLWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heczko🌟Skacelik goes over total as favourite 67% (51)
Fair odds · Skacelik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+80
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.