24 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1473
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zurek
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1442
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bosak
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.