24 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1442
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Blejchar
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1488
FormLWLWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bosak
Fair odds · Blejchar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.