24 Jul · 05:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1307
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Grohsgott
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1347
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Grohsgott stays under total as favourite 63% (109)
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 70% · 1.44· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H119-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.