24 Jul · 09:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1704
3-1Final setsMares won
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1705
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Vales at 50%. The actual result was Erik Mares 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Vales favoured — closing 1.8
Total 75.5
77 points played
Set handicap
Vales −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Vales −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Jakub Vales.
▲ Erik Marespre 54% → final 100%
Jakub Vales ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsMares recovered from 42%53 points · 3 games