25 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1492
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rinka
AR
🇨🇿Alfred Rinka
ELO 1496
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Simecek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (46)
Fair odds · Rinka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.