25 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1492
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Heczko
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1527
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Simecek🌟Heczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (51)
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.