25 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MU
🇨🇿Martin Ulrych
ELO 1507
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ulrych
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1439
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Didi stays under total as underdog 67% (93)
Fair odds · Ulrych
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.