25 Jul · 02:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇨🇿Richard Krejci
ELO 1628
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krejci
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1506
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
🌟Bayer covers set handicap as underdog 66% (169)
Fair odds · Krejci
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+122
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)