25 Jul · 01:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PK
🇨🇿Pavel Kulhanek
ELO 1433
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Didi
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1439
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Kulhanek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (35)
Fair odds · Didi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.