25 Jul · 00:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇨🇿Petr Picek
ELO 1454
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Picek
MN
🇨🇿Miroslav Necas
ELO 1453
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Necas🌟Necas goes over total as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Picek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.