25 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jan Cernik
ELO 1774
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Cernik
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kos
ELO 1687
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Kos stays under total as underdog 65% (26)
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+87
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)