25 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1705
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vales
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1626
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Vales rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (100)
Fair odds · Vales
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+79
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.