26 Jul · 00:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1609
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1648
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 30% · 3.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.