25 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1352
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hyrsl
JH
🇨🇿Jiri Hyrsl
ELO 1372
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Hyrsl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.