25 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1366
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Grohsgott
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1352
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H23-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.