25 Jul · 00:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇨🇿Petr Picek
ELO 1454
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Trinta
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1532
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+78
H2H6-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.