25 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1532
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Trinta
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1463
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H32-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.