25 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kos
ELO 1687
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vales
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1705
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Vales rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (100)
Fair odds · Vales
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.