25 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1630
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wawrosz
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1601
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vavrecka🌟Wawrosz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (144)
Fair odds · Wawrosz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H22-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.