25 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1654
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cabis
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1650
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Polasek🌟Polasek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (163)
Fair odds · Cabis
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H23-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.