25 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1594
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wolf
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1626
FormLLWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk
Fair odds · Wolf
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.