25 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1650
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Polasek
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1630
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Wawrosz🌟Polasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (159)
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H19-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.