25 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1705
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cernik
JC
🇨🇿Jan Cernik
ELO 1774
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vales🌟Vales covers set handicap as underdog 64% (47)
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.