25 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1448
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mikula
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1445
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mikula
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.41· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H2-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.