25 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kolar
ELO 1546
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vejvoda
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1560
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolar🌟Vejvoda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (118)
Fair odds · Vejvoda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.