26 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1376
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Barta
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1409
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Barta stays under total as favourite 66% (53)
Fair odds · Barta
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H27-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.