26 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1423
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tacinec
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1508
FormLWLWL
46%
54%
🌟Didi stays under total as underdog 67% (94)
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+85
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.