26 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1480
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tacinec
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1508
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Tacinec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (30)
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.