26 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1563
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skacelik
ER
🇨🇿Evzen Rychlik
ELO 1528
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rychlik🌟Skacelik goes over total as favourite 67% (52)
Fair odds · Skacelik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.