25 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1376
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Trojan
FT
🇨🇿Frantisek Trojan
ELO 1456
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Trojan rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (13)
Fair odds · Trojan
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+80
H2H8-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.