25 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1525
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Schwan
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1520
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Schwan stays under total as favourite 65% (23)
Fair odds · Schwan
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.