25 Jul · 21:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1376
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kosar
VK
🇨🇿Vaclav Kosar
ELO 1482
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kosar
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+106
H2H21-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-3)